Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-10-05 0.223968 0.259089 0.297872 0.343875 0.396955 0.456290 0.527668
2025-10-12 0.171876 0.219880 0.278351 0.354805 0.452174 0.572107 0.731209
2025-10-19 0.143306 0.196607 0.266099 0.363327 0.495928 0.670622 0.918631
2025-10-26 0.122237 0.177559 0.253807 0.366551 0.529149 0.755443 1.094987
2025-11-02 0.104440 0.159414 0.238922 0.362258 0.548961 0.821450 1.250390
2025-11-09 0.088646 0.141452 0.221190 0.350312 0.554440 0.865307 1.376126
2025-11-16 0.080424 0.133638 0.217215 0.357962 0.589439 0.955888 1.582065
2025-11-23 0.072460 0.125011 0.210612 0.360097 0.615119 1.033597 1.775068
2025-11-30 0.066394 0.118640 0.206693 0.365769 0.646604 1.123152 1.996591
2025-12-07 0.059057 0.109091 0.196176 0.358631 0.654860 1.173704 2.155572
2025-12-14 0.053177 0.101374 0.187862 0.354191 0.666936 1.231406 2.332516
2025-12-21 0.049251 0.096750 0.184502 0.358226 0.694557 1.319199 2.573385
2025-12-28 0.047434 0.096010 0.188391 0.376643 0.751862 1.468851 2.950468
2026-01-04 0.044945 0.093667 0.188981 0.388763 0.798426 1.603258 3.313698
2026-01-11 0.042386 0.090850 0.188276 0.398097 0.840255 1.732422 3.680313
2026-01-18 0.039492 0.086977 0.184974 0.401628 0.870383 1.840901 4.015773
2026-01-25 0.036134 0.081703 0.178170 0.396926 0.882473 1.913160 4.281874
2026-02-01 0.032422 0.075207 0.168048 0.383840 0.874840 1.942664 4.457592
2026-02-08 0.030819 0.073275 0.167628 0.392219 0.915623 2.080841 4.890802
2026-02-15 0.028896 0.070373 0.164718 0.394558 0.942827 2.191492 5.272785
2026-02-22 0.027411 0.068334 0.163543 0.400771 0.979615 2.327352 5.728257
2026-03-01 0.025135 0.064110 0.156814 0.392952 0.982053 2.383663 5.998749
2026-03-08 0.023253 0.060650 0.151538 0.388090 0.991124 2.456472 6.317481